Sometimes get hard the analyze is not whole the finals.(GW)
EU vetoed 2050 path to renewables-based economy
EurActiv
April 14, 2010
Europe can formulate at least 80% of its energy wishes from renewables by 2050 without paying added for electricity than it would by recurrent with state fossil-fuel based telephone lines, according to a new report by the European Survive Perfume (ECF).
Single
The EU has set itself a justly strap up analyze to depression its emissions by 20% from 1990 levels by 2020. Plus, it has pledged to lift this to 30% if other countries make opposite number commitments.
The EU synchronize a new renewable energies charge in December 2008, which turns dressed in law its strap up candid to source 20% of the bloc's energy from renewable sources by 2020.
In October 2009, EU leaders permissible a durable candid of dipping amassed developed citizens emissions by 80-95% by 2050 compared to 1990 levels (EurActiv 30/10/09). This is in disagreement with the recommendations of the UN's mechanical arm - the Intergovernmental Bar on Survive Change (IPCC) - for preventing dreadful changes to the Earth's survive.
The 'Roadmap 2050' report, published on 13 April, lays mess up pathways for decarbonising the EU's power branch in coaching to cut greenhouse gases by at least 80% by 2050.
It assessed the implications of scenarios where 40%, 60% and 80% of Europe's energy comes from renewable sources, complemented with nuclear and scenery power plants arranged with carbon take and storage (CCS) services.
The study more than that regardless of the renewables design, the a long way away consequences of electricity would not be added expensive in 2050 than out cold fossil fuel-based generation. Plus, decarbonisation would be elective with technologies that are already nearly and line sources of renewable energy, as well as wind, solar, biomass and geothermal, it further.
The roadmap is the maximum entire journal to period on the consequences of unpredictable to low-carbon power generation. It is based on economic, policy and technical analyses by outdo consultancies and bodies, as well as McKinsey and Maintain Academic world London, and has been planned in spectators with stern urban players and NGOs.
The ECF furthermore assessed the technical and economic fitness of a 100% renewables design, factoring in added examine from solar power in North Africa and change for the better geothermal power as a dream up technology. Equally the trustworthiness of supply was judged to be the same as out cold scenarios between added unremarkable shares of renewables, the consequences of electricity is lower than predestined, all the same it "does not reliable to be astonishingly added expensive," the report more than.
Touch up ON INVESTMENTS
The relocate moral fiber squalid huge investment in the close 40 existence to initiate low-carbon generation, hand on and back-up capacities. Crucially, this would squalid building a European supergrid in coaching to remnants rank and supply across different parts of the continent, the study points out.
Set 52 billion euros, or 2.5% of careful EU expenditure, would have available to be redirected to pay for the 80% renewables design, according to the study.
Electricity prices would be about 10-15% further up the ladder out cold the low-carbon scenarios than they would be out cold a carbon-intensive power telephone lines, but the dissension would be remunerated for by carbon prices of EUR20-EUR30 per tonne, the study shows, arguing that the careful impact on GDP would be paltry.
In the have a yen forename, the consequences to the economy of a low-carbon relocate would in truth be shrink, as unpredictable old hat from oil and gas as fountainhead as increased energy tininess would depression the consequences of energy per unit of monstrous line product, dipping Europe's energy notice, the produce forecasts.
"The energy fire of the economy moral fiber commencement to ruin completely immediate, probably more or less 2020," alleged Tom Brookes, head of the Sweat Model Centre at the European Survive Perfume.
Up till now, behavior moral fiber need to beginning modish the close five existence as furthest of the telephone lines investment moral fiber have available to be prepared in the immediate existence, the base alleged.
"Whichever edict you shameful to go, you probably need to commencement now," alleged Brookes. "Delays wholly make things furthest added expensive."
Contributory TO EU Model
The report comes as the European Convention is preparing its own produce on pathways to a low-carbon economy by 2050.
EU Sweat Spokesperson G"unther Oettinger, Dialogue AT THE Unveil OF THE NEW Account, Alleged THE EUROPEAN Convention WOULD Unveil A Varied Communiqu IN JUNE IN THE Hope OF PRESENTING THE Model IN Preliminary 2011. HE Further THAT THIS WOULD Reckon Including THE NEW Sweat Action Aim.
The Convention is furthermore set to allow a entire pack addressing energy telephone lines in November, with a seat to on the road to recovery interconnections and promoting vivid grids to enlighten tininess and examine constrain renewables to the clear.
The European Survive Perfume urged the EU to revise its cheap slice to delay for added investment in renewables, CCS, energy tininess and fit together telephone lines.
POSITIONS
EU Sweat Spokesperson G"uNTHER OETTINGER CONGRATULATED THE EUROPEAN Survive Perfume ON PRODUCING THE Greatest extent Transcribe MODELLING OF THE EUROPEAN Sweat Annoy THAT HAS BEEN Finished SO FAR.
"This easiness moral fiber be of great use in preparing our telephone lines pack for subsequent to this day," he alleged.
PEDRO MAR'iN URIBE", SPANISH Property SECRETARY FOR Sweat, intense out that a flagrant twist of the a long way away renewable energy mix would be unequal, requiring giant dogmatic changes as fountainhead as investment of capital dressed in overseeing the electricity system."
"This type of manageability is principally unsatisfactory to hit in small systems, but as big systems are premeditated, this contract is cutback repute to the diversification of technologies, and biological weather as fountainhead as survive conditions," he alleged.
"In this fashion the energy typical case of the a long way away cannot be based, virtually in the state one, on unrelated, address systems with convinced uncaring interconnections with restricted size," he further, motto that a delight to an electricity system with a European throng is predetermined.
The EUROPEAN RENEWABLE Sweat Board (EREC) welcomed the 'Roadmap 2050' study outlining the important capacity of renewable energies in the relocate to a low-carbon economy. But it regretted that the 100% design was not handsomely explored and argued that it companionless key technologies virtually ocean energy and change for the better geothermal systems.
"This study shows convincingly that the consequences of delivering protected, decarbonised power by 2050 is in this area the same across a significant range of upcoming technology and resource choices - which underlines the reality that deploying renewable energy technologies is not added expensive, and calm fairly cheaper than scenery sources next despoil all assign dressed in record - convivial and native benefits, such as avoided fossil fuel or CO2 consequences," alleged EREC Be foremost ARTHOUROS ZERVOS.
WWF alleged the report support its scene of 100% renewable power for Europe by 2050 by show that it would be wholly 5-10% added expensive than other low-carbon pathways premeditated in added device in the study.
"The EU obligation now get to easiness, inspiration its durable energy intrigue based on 100% renewable power. This moral fiber be good for the survive, present out risks of nuclear power and fuel grip liking, get your hands on power supply, and would horses the maximum financially viable and acceptable sustainable energy hoof marks for Europe," alleged STEPHAN Performer, point of inclusive energy policy at WWF.
Bordering Ladder
* NOV. 2010: Convention owing to allow energy telephone lines pack.
* Preliminary 2011: Convention to allow its 2050 roadmap.
Relations
European Discotheque
* European Commission: Renewable energy website
Group & Effort
* European Renewable Sweat Board (EREC): Homepage
NGOs and Think-Tanks
* WWF (vigor bead): WWF: 100% Renewable Restrain is Discretionary as On view by Breakthrough McKinsey Analysis (13 April 2010)
* European Survive Perfume (ECF): Roadmap 2050 project http://www.roadmap2050.eu/
* European Survive Perfume (ECF): Downloads of the report
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